WASHINGTON – Two national daily tracking polls show Donald Trump leading Hillary Clinton by between 1 and 5.6 points in the latest surveys.
In the Los Angeles Times daily tacking poll, Trump has taken his largest lead yet in the campaign with a 5.6 percent edge – 48.2 to 42.6.
The Los Angeles Times tracking poll shows Donald Trump leading Hillary Clinton two days before Election Day.
In the Investors Business Daily national tracking, which has proven to be the most accurate indicator in presidential elections since 2004, Trump leads by 1 percent.
Perhaps significantly, the L.A. Times poll shows the gender gap now hurts Hillary Clinton.
Trump has a 16.2 percent lead among men, while she has a 4.9 percent lead among women voters. Trump also only trails in the Hispanic vote by 3 points.
The Real Clear Politics average of nine recent national polls as of early Sunday morning has Clinton up by 2.1 points in a four-way race. But it was 7.1 points as recently as Oct. 17.
All polls were taken before the news broke that FBI Director James Comey, once again, shocked the political world by telling Congress he was closing the criminal investigation into Hillary Clinton’s email policies.
As national polls have tightened, Trump has closed the gap in several key states, including Florida and Ohio.
Fresh surveys in states such as Pennsylvania, Michigan, New Hampshire and Colorado suggest that they may be in reach for the GOP nominee. Meanwhile, Real Clear Politics labels traditionally Republican states Arizona and Georgia as tossups.
Veteran election watcher Charlie Cook has backed away from his prediction less than two weeks ago that the race is “over.”
“The race is in a different place than 8 or 9 days ago when there was virtually no path for Trump,” the publisher of the Cook Political Report told the Hill on Saturday. “So yes, like everyone else, we’ve revised our assessment.”
Trump has multiple paths to winning the White House. But he does need to win most of the battleground states, whereas Clinton only needs a few.
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