GOP front-runner Donald Trump
The GOP nomination race shifted to the Northeast Tuesday in a night where Republican front-runner Donald Trump is is in the process of sweeping primaries in five states: Connecticut, Delaware, Maryland, Pennsylvania and Rhode Island.
The Associated Press has already called three states for Trump – Maryland, Pennsylvania, and Connecticut – and Trump is on track to win more than 50 percent of the GOP vote in all three. The five states offer 118 delegates up for grabs.
At stake on Tuesday:
- Connecticut: 28 delegates, winner takes most
- Delaware: 16 delegates, winner takes all
- Maryland: 38 delegates, winner takes all
- Pennsylvania: 17 delegates, combined selection winner-take-all primary statewide, loophole primary district
- Rhode Island: 19 delegates, awarded proportionally
If the polling trends are accurate, Trump will win all five states. Leading up to the primaries, numerous polls showed the billionaire contender with large leads over Republican rivals Ted Cruz and John Kasich.
Republican candidates Donald Trump and Ted Cruz
International Business Times noted Tuesday’s five primary races could virtually seal the GOP nomination for Trump.
In addition to Trump’s solid lead, polls reveal the steady demise of Cruz. In states that are not winner-take-all, Ohio Gov. John Kasich could take a few delegates home. However, it will not be nearly enough to put him in a competitive position.
At a campaign event in Indiana Tuesday, Cruz said, “Tonight, Donald Trump is expected to have a good night. Donald Trump is likely to win some states, and the media is going to have heart palpitations this evening. They’re going to be very excited, so very excited at Trumps victories. And the media is going to say, ‘The race is over.’ The media is going to say, ‘Donald Trump is the nominee.’ If you find yourself wondering why the media is so eager to have Trump as the nominee, you don’t have to look any further than USA Today’s front page: 40% of GOP voters doubt they will vote for Trump. Now I want you to think for a second: The network executives, are they Democrats or Republicans?”
Cruz called Trump “the media’s chosen candidate” and said he has a major announcement: “Hillary Clinton has decided on her vice presidential nominee. Hillary has decided on Donald Trump.”
GOP delegate tally as of April 26, 2016:
(Source: New York Times)
Trump’s appeal is at least partly due to his outspoken opinions, which resonate with many votes. American Thinker reports, “Only 26% of Republican supporters say the GOP platform should accept gay marriage, and a majority (53%) think the next GOP president needs to stand up to the Democrats more effectively. … [I]f Trump continues to maintain support in the high 40s, and Cruz and Kasich effectively split the remaining vote, Trump will get to the magical 1,237 number after the California primary under all modeled scenarios.”
Even if Trump’s support slips to just 40 percent for the remainder of the race, a New York Times delegate simulator shows Trump reaching 1,237 under all scenarios before the start of the convention.
Cruz lost badly in New York’s primary, which increased Trump’s confidence that he could capture Pennsylvania’s coveted 71 delegates. Speaking at a rally in Hersey, Pennsylvania, Cruz said, “You know what? I got a lot more faith in the people of Pennsylvania. There are 71 delegates that are going to be elected here in Pennsylvania. We’re going to take them.”
Pennsylvania is especially crucial since 17 of the 71 delegates at stake will go to the statewide contest, and the other 54 will be elected directly on the GOP primary ballots in each congressional district without being bound to a candidate. Cruz and Kasich will need to rely on wins in individual congressional districts to keep Trump from getting the 1,237 delegates he needs to clinch the nomination.
GOP front-runner Donald Trump
Bloomberg reports, “The research project led by David Rothschild, an economist at Microsoft Research in New York City, aggregates betting-market data and has successfully predicted the winner in 57 of 67 state nominating contests it’s covered so far this year. As of Sunday, Trump had a 94 percent chance or higher of winning each of the five April 26 primaries.”
However the prediction holds a measure of uncertainty, particularly with Pennsylvania’s so-called “loophole primary” in which voters directly elect 54 delegates who are not bound to vote for a specific candidate at July’s Republican convention.
The next Republican primary will take place May 3 in Indiana, and the winner-take-all state will offer 57 Republican delegates.
Results will be updated below as they come in.
Connecticut Republican Primary
28 delegates awarded proportionally
With 1 percent reporting:
Trump: 56.9 percent
Kasich: 25.2 percent
Cruz: 15.4 percent
Delaware Republican Primary
16 delegates, winner take all
With 0 percent reporting:
Trump: 0 percent
Cruz: 0 percent
Kasich: 0 percent
Pennsylvania Republican Primary
17 delegates, winner take all
With 0 percent reporting:
Trump: 0 percent
Cruz: 0 percent
Kasich: 0 percent
Rhode Island Republican Primary
19 delegates, awarded proportionally
With 0 percent reporting:
Trump: 0 percent
Cruz: 0 percent
Kasich: 0 percent
Maryland Republican Primary
38 delegates, winner take all
With 0 percent reporting:
Trump: 0 percent
Cruz: 0 percent
Kasich: 0 percent
from PropagandaGuard https://propagandaguard.wordpress.com/2016/04/27/gop-results-trump-set-for-5-state-sweep/
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