A new poll released Monday shows Ben Carson not only in the lead in the Republican primary in Iowa – but by double digits, 32 percent to 18 percent for Donald Trump.
WMAL reported the Monmouth University survey shows Carson’s massive jump in favor is with likely Republican Iowa voters. In August, the same polling firm found Carson and Trump tied at 23 percent.
And the shift isn’t going over well in the Trump camp, WMAL seemed to suggest.
“Trump has begun to attack Carson on the trail as the retired neurosurgeon rises in the polls and challenges Trump’s front-runner status, though the mogul continues to lead nationally,” WMAL reported. “Trump maintains that he only ‘counterpunches,’ but Carson has not been making Trump a focal point of his campaigning in recent weeks.”
Iowa isn’t the necessarily the harbinger for the nation.
For instance, former Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee won Iowa during his 2008 run for the White House, based on a wave of support from evangelicals who did not see Mitt Romney as a viable candidate. But Huckabee went on to lose on the national scale – and as WMAL pointed, Trump is still besting Carson in nationwide surveys.
The Monmouth poll surveyed 400 likely Republican Iowa caucus-goers between Oct. 22 and Oct. 25. It has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.9 percentage points.
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